Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →79.1%
Liverpool
13.8%
Draw
7.0%
Ipswich
Expected Goals (xG)
3.01
Liverpool
vs
0.88
Ipswich
Markets
BTTS56.3%
Over 0.597.2%
Over 1.590.7%
Over 2.574.4%
Over 3.554.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0
9.3%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
8.2%
2-1
8.2%
4-0
7.0%
1-1
6.2%
4-1
6.1%
1-0
5.4%
5-0
4.2%
5-1
3.7%
3-2
3.6%
2-2
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).