Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →14.4%
Kelty Hearts
21.8%
Draw
63.8%
Arbroath
Expected Goals (xG)
0.86
Kelty Hearts
vs
2.02
Arbroath
Markets
BTTS50.5%
Over 0.593.7%
Over 1.578.8%
Over 2.554.8%
Over 3.532.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
11.5%
0-1
10.8%
1-1
10.4%
1-2
9.8%
0-3
7.7%
1-3
6.6%
0-0
6.3%
2-2
4.2%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
4.2%
0-4
3.9%
1-4
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).