Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →22.5%
Wigan
34.5%
Draw
43.0%
Stoke
Expected Goals (xG)
0.70
Wigan
vs
1.08
Stoke
Markets
BTTS34.2%
Over 0.582.0%
Over 1.554.1%
Over 2.526.3%
Over 3.510.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
18.0%
0-1
17.1%
1-1
13.8%
1-0
10.8%
0-2
9.8%
1-2
6.9%
2-1
4.5%
2-0
4.2%
0-3
3.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-2
2.4%
3-1
1.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).