Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →37.1%
Holstein Kiel
27.3%
Draw
35.6%
Nurnberg
Expected Goals (xG)
1.44
Holstein Kiel
vs
1.41
Nurnberg
Markets
BTTS58.9%
Over 0.593.1%
Over 1.578.9%
Over 2.554.3%
Over 3.532.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.9%
2-1
8.5%
1-2
8.3%
1-0
7.2%
0-1
7.0%
0-0
6.9%
2-0
6.0%
2-2
6.0%
0-2
5.7%
3-1
4.1%
1-3
3.9%
3-0
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).