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25 Aug 2024 · 17:15

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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59.0%
Kasimpasa
24.2%
Draw
16.8%
Ad. Demirspor

Expected Goals (xG)

2.22

Kasimpasa

vs
1.16

Ad. Demirspor

Markets

BTTS63.5%
Over 0.594.4%
Over 1.587.3%
Over 2.565.6%
Over 3.543.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.0%
2-1
9.7%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
7.2%
3-0
6.2%
2-2
5.7%
0-0
5.6%
1-0
5.3%
1-2
5.1%
3-2
4.2%
4-1
4.0%
4-0
3.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).