Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →74.5%
Leeds
18.6%
Draw
6.8%
Blackburn
Expected Goals (xG)
2.12
Leeds
vs
0.50
Blackburn
Markets
BTTS35.4%
Over 0.592.1%
Over 1.574.3%
Over 2.548.7%
Over 3.526.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
16.3%
1-0
14.7%
3-0
11.5%
1-1
8.4%
2-1
8.2%
0-0
7.9%
4-0
6.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-1
3.1%
0-1
3.0%
5-0
2.6%
2-2
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).