Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →17.4%
Ferrol
33.6%
Draw
48.9%
Leganes
Expected Goals (xG)
0.50
Ferrol
vs
1.05
Leganes
Markets
BTTS25.5%
Over 0.578.9%
Over 1.545.8%
Over 2.520.4%
Over 3.57.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
22.4%
0-0
21.1%
0-2
11.7%
1-1
11.0%
1-0
10.7%
1-2
5.9%
0-3
4.1%
2-1
2.8%
2-0
2.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-2
1.5%
0-4
1.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).