Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →41.2%
Staveley MW
35.9%
Draw
22.9%
Royston Town
Expected Goals (xG)
0.89
Staveley MW
vs
0.58
Royston Town
Markets
BTTS25.4%
Over 0.577.2%
Over 1.542.6%
Over 2.518.2%
Over 3.56.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
22.8%
1-0
20.9%
0-1
13.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-0
9.1%
2-1
5.2%
0-2
3.8%
1-2
3.4%
3-0
2.7%
3-1
1.5%
2-2
1.5%
0-3
0.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).