Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →45.4%
Mallorca
29.9%
Draw
24.7%
Alaves
Expected Goals (xG)
1.24
Mallorca
vs
0.84
Alaves
Markets
BTTS40.5%
Over 0.587.2%
Over 1.561.7%
Over 2.534.4%
Over 3.515.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.3%
1-1
13.3%
0-0
12.8%
0-1
10.2%
2-0
9.6%
2-1
8.1%
1-2
5.4%
0-2
4.4%
3-0
4.0%
2-2
3.4%
3-1
3.3%
1-3
1.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).