Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →15.9%
Nimes
15.9%
Draw
68.2%
Metz
Expected Goals (xG)
1.16
Nimes
vs
2.56
Metz
Markets
BTTS62.8%
Over 0.598.2%
Over 1.588.0%
Over 2.571.8%
Over 3.551.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
9.2%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
7.9%
0-1
6.8%
0-3
6.8%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
5.3%
1-4
5.0%
2-3
4.6%
0-4
4.3%
2-1
4.2%
1-0
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).