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AHT: 02CSV

07 Apr 2019

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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41.0%
Heidenheim
30.7%
Draw
28.3%
FC Koln

Expected Goals (xG)

1.27

Heidenheim

vs
1.01

FC Koln

Markets

BTTS47.1%
Over 0.588.5%
Over 1.567.8%
Over 2.539.9%
Over 3.519.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.4%
1-0
11.7%
0-0
11.5%
0-1
9.1%
2-1
8.3%
2-0
8.2%
1-2
6.6%
0-2
5.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-1
3.5%
3-0
3.5%
1-3
2.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).