Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →37.1%
Erzurum BB
34.5%
Draw
28.4%
Kasimpasa
Expected Goals (xG)
1.26
Erzurum BB
vs
1.08
Kasimpasa
Markets
BTTS50.8%
Over 0.587.1%
Over 1.571.3%
Over 2.541.6%
Over 3.521.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
16.4%
0-0
12.9%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.3%
2-0
7.6%
1-2
7.1%
0-1
7.1%
0-2
5.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-1
3.5%
3-0
3.2%
1-3
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).