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DHT: 01CSV

28 Apr 2018

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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21.4%
Stirling
30.5%
Draw
48.2%
Stenhousemuir

Expected Goals (xG)

0.94

Stirling

vs
1.50

Stenhousemuir

Markets

BTTS49.5%
Over 0.589.1%
Over 1.572.3%
Over 2.544.1%
Over 3.523.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.5%
0-0
10.9%
0-1
10.9%
0-2
9.8%
1-2
9.2%
1-0
6.0%
2-1
5.8%
0-3
4.9%
1-3
4.6%
2-2
4.3%
2-0
3.8%
2-3
2.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).