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05 Apr 2025 · 13:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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27.2%
Sirius
22.2%
Draw
50.5%
Djurgården

Expected Goals (xG)

1.59

Sirius

vs
2.19

Djurgården

Markets

BTTS71.6%
Over 0.596.9%
Over 1.589.9%
Over 2.572.8%
Over 3.552.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
8.8%
1-2
8.7%
2-2
6.9%
1-3
6.3%
2-1
6.3%
0-2
5.5%
2-3
5.0%
0-1
4.1%
0-3
4.0%
3-2
3.7%
1-4
3.5%
3-1
3.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).