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21 Oct 2023 · 17:15

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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20.4%
RWD Molenbeek
21.6%
Draw
58.0%
Westerlo

Expected Goals (xG)

1.20

RWD Molenbeek

vs
2.13

Westerlo

Markets

BTTS62.2%
Over 0.595.9%
Over 1.585.0%
Over 2.564.7%
Over 3.542.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-2
9.7%
1-1
9.7%
0-2
8.1%
0-1
7.1%
1-3
6.9%
2-2
5.9%
0-3
5.7%
2-1
5.5%
2-3
4.2%
0-0
4.1%
1-0
3.8%
1-4
3.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).