Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →22.3%
Celtic
29.1%
Draw
48.6%
Manchester City
Expected Goals (xG)
0.73
Celtic
vs
1.23
Manchester City
Markets
BTTS36.1%
Over 0.586.3%
Over 1.557.8%
Over 2.531.1%
Over 3.513.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
17.8%
0-0
13.7%
1-1
12.2%
0-2
10.7%
1-0
10.7%
1-2
7.8%
2-1
4.6%
0-3
4.4%
2-0
3.7%
1-3
3.2%
2-2
2.8%
0-4
1.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).