Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →36.6%
Bielefeld
28.3%
Draw
35.1%
Paderborn
Expected Goals (xG)
1.36
Bielefeld
vs
1.32
Paderborn
Markets
BTTS55.7%
Over 0.592.0%
Over 1.576.0%
Over 2.550.2%
Over 3.528.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.5%
2-1
8.4%
1-2
8.1%
1-0
8.1%
0-0
8.0%
0-1
7.9%
2-0
6.3%
0-2
6.0%
2-2
5.5%
3-1
3.8%
1-3
3.6%
3-0
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).