Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →15.4%
Bordeaux
14.6%
Draw
70.0%
Marseille
Expected Goals (xG)
1.47
Bordeaux
vs
3.10
Marseille
Markets
BTTS73.4%
Over 0.599.1%
Over 1.594.1%
Over 2.583.4%
Over 3.566.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-3
7.6%
1-2
7.3%
1-4
5.9%
2-3
5.6%
2-2
5.4%
0-3
5.1%
0-2
5.0%
1-1
4.6%
2-4
4.3%
0-4
4.0%
1-5
3.6%
2-1
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).