Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →30.8%
Sp Gijon
28.6%
Draw
40.5%
Las Palmas
Expected Goals (xG)
1.01
Sp Gijon
vs
1.20
Las Palmas
Markets
BTTS44.3%
Over 0.589.2%
Over 1.564.6%
Over 2.538.0%
Over 3.518.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.3%
1-1
13.2%
1-0
11.2%
0-0
10.8%
1-2
8.0%
0-2
7.9%
2-1
6.7%
2-0
5.6%
2-2
4.0%
1-3
3.2%
0-3
3.2%
3-1
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).