Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →49.7%
Nice
26.9%
Draw
23.4%
Auxerre
Expected Goals (xG)
1.33
Nice
vs
0.81
Auxerre
Markets
BTTS40.0%
Over 0.588.9%
Over 1.562.2%
Over 2.536.0%
Over 3.516.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.4%
1-1
12.0%
0-0
11.1%
2-0
10.4%
0-1
10.3%
2-1
8.4%
1-2
5.1%
3-0
4.6%
0-2
3.9%
3-1
3.7%
2-2
3.4%
4-0
1.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).