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AHT: 01CSV

22 Feb 2025 · 12:30

Hull

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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43.7%
Sunderland
29.5%
Draw
26.8%
Hull

Expected Goals (xG)

1.36

Sunderland

vs
1.01

Hull

Markets

BTTS48.4%
Over 0.589.6%
Over 1.569.7%
Over 2.542.3%
Over 3.521.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.9%
1-0
11.6%
0-0
10.4%
2-1
8.7%
2-0
8.6%
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.5%
0-2
4.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-1
4.0%
3-0
3.9%
1-3
2.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).