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21 Sept 2021 · 19:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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25.4%
Pordenone
29.0%
Draw
45.6%
Reggina

Expected Goals (xG)

1.02

Pordenone

vs
1.44

Reggina

Markets

BTTS50.0%
Over 0.590.2%
Over 1.571.7%
Over 2.544.6%
Over 3.523.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.8%
0-1
11.1%
0-0
9.8%
1-2
9.0%
0-2
8.9%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
6.4%
2-2
4.6%
2-0
4.4%
1-3
4.3%
0-3
4.3%
2-3
2.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).