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AHT: 00CSV

21 Aug 2022 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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22.5%
Sudtirol
29.5%
Draw
48.0%
Venezia

Expected Goals (xG)

0.90

Sudtirol

vs
1.42

Venezia

Markets

BTTS46.1%
Over 0.588.9%
Over 1.568.5%
Over 2.540.7%
Over 3.520.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.8%
0-1
12.8%
0-0
11.1%
0-2
9.9%
1-2
8.9%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
5.6%
0-3
4.7%
1-3
4.2%
2-2
4.0%
2-0
4.0%
2-3
1.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).