Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →18.3%
Amorebieta
30.0%
Draw
51.6%
Las Palmas
Expected Goals (xG)
0.60
Amorebieta
vs
1.23
Las Palmas
Markets
BTTS31.9%
Over 0.584.1%
Over 1.554.5%
Over 2.527.7%
Over 3.511.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
19.8%
0-0
15.9%
0-2
12.1%
1-1
11.7%
1-0
9.8%
1-2
7.3%
0-3
5.0%
2-1
3.6%
1-3
3.0%
2-0
2.9%
2-2
2.2%
0-4
1.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).