Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →83.8%
Sp Braga
11.2%
Draw
5.0%
Pacos Ferreira
Expected Goals (xG)
2.73
Sp Braga
vs
0.52
Pacos Ferreira
Markets
BTTS37.6%
Over 0.596.4%
Over 1.583.3%
Over 2.563.0%
Over 3.540.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
14.5%
3-0
13.2%
1-0
10.8%
4-0
9.0%
2-1
7.5%
3-1
6.8%
1-1
5.3%
5-0
4.9%
4-1
4.7%
0-0
3.6%
5-1
2.5%
0-1
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).