Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.7%
Girona
28.0%
Draw
28.4%
Valencia
Expected Goals (xG)
1.34
Girona
vs
1.03
Valencia
Markets
BTTS47.8%
Over 0.590.4%
Over 1.568.9%
Over 2.542.4%
Over 3.521.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.2%
1-0
12.2%
0-0
9.6%
0-1
9.3%
2-1
8.7%
2-0
8.4%
1-2
6.6%
0-2
4.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-1
3.9%
3-0
3.8%
1-3
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).