Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →75.2%
Bayern Munich
13.3%
Draw
11.5%
FC Koln
Expected Goals (xG)
3.40
Bayern Munich
vs
1.39
FC Koln
Markets
BTTS72.9%
Over 0.598.9%
Over 1.595.5%
Over 2.585.6%
Over 3.570.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1
7.6%
2-1
6.7%
4-1
6.4%
3-0
5.4%
3-2
5.3%
2-0
4.8%
2-2
4.7%
4-0
4.6%
4-2
4.5%
5-1
4.4%
1-1
4.2%
5-0
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).