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14 Dec 2024 · 20:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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94.2%
Bromsgrove Sporting
4.9%
Draw
0.9%
Boavista

Expected Goals (xG)

3.71

Bromsgrove Sporting

vs
0.31

Boavista

Markets

BTTS26.0%
Over 0.598.0%
Over 1.591.1%
Over 2.576.4%
Over 3.556.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

3-0
15.3%
4-0
14.2%
2-0
12.4%
5-0
10.5%
1-0
6.5%
3-1
4.7%
4-1
4.4%
2-1
3.8%
5-1
3.3%
1-1
2.2%
0-0
2.0%
3-2
0.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).