Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →70.8%
GAIS
18.0%
Draw
11.2%
Värnamo
Expected Goals (xG)
2.51
GAIS
vs
0.94
Värnamo
Markets
BTTS56.7%
Over 0.596.0%
Over 1.586.7%
Over 2.566.9%
Over 3.545.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
10.0%
2-1
9.4%
3-0
8.4%
1-1
8.3%
3-1
7.9%
1-0
7.2%
4-0
5.3%
4-1
4.9%
2-2
4.4%
0-0
4.0%
3-2
3.7%
1-2
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).