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11 Sept 2022 · 12:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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72.8%
Strasbourg
16.9%
Draw
10.3%
Clermont

Expected Goals (xG)

2.18

Strasbourg

vs
0.66

Clermont

Markets

BTTS42.3%
Over 0.594.6%
Over 1.577.0%
Over 2.553.9%
Over 3.531.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
13.9%
1-0
13.2%
3-0
10.1%
2-1
9.2%
1-1
7.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-0
5.5%
0-0
5.4%
0-1
4.3%
4-1
3.6%
2-2
3.0%
1-2
2.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).