Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →63.8%
Sporting Gijón
20.7%
Draw
15.5%
Cultural Leonesa
Expected Goals (xG)
1.98
Sporting Gijón
vs
0.85
Cultural Leonesa
Markets
BTTS49.4%
Over 0.594.2%
Over 1.577.3%
Over 2.553.8%
Over 3.531.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
11.8%
2-0
11.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-0
7.6%
3-1
6.5%
0-0
5.8%
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.2%
2-2
4.2%
4-0
3.8%
4-1
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).