Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →66.0%
Chelsea
21.0%
Draw
13.0%
West Ham
Expected Goals (xG)
2.25
Chelsea
vs
0.93
West Ham
Markets
BTTS55.5%
Over 0.594.7%
Over 1.583.9%
Over 2.561.8%
Over 3.539.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
10.5%
1-1
9.9%
2-1
9.8%
1-0
8.1%
3-0
7.9%
3-1
7.4%
0-0
5.3%
2-2
4.6%
4-0
4.4%
4-1
4.1%
1-2
4.1%
3-2
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).