Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →38.8%
Arbroath
32.2%
Draw
29.0%
Dunfermline
Expected Goals (xG)
1.26
Arbroath
vs
1.06
Dunfermline
Markets
BTTS49.0%
Over 0.588.2%
Over 1.569.6%
Over 2.541.1%
Over 3.520.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
15.2%
0-0
11.8%
1-0
10.2%
0-1
8.3%
2-1
8.3%
2-0
7.8%
1-2
7.0%
0-2
5.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-1
3.5%
3-0
3.3%
1-3
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).