Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →54.7%
Liverpool
26.0%
Draw
19.2%
Nott'm Forest
Expected Goals (xG)
1.81
Liverpool
vs
1.00
Nott'm Forest
Markets
BTTS54.4%
Over 0.592.4%
Over 1.578.5%
Over 2.553.2%
Over 3.530.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.4%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
9.8%
1-0
9.4%
0-0
7.6%
3-1
5.9%
3-0
5.9%
1-2
5.5%
2-2
4.9%
0-1
4.5%
0-2
3.0%
3-2
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).