Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →55.9%
Stoke
27.8%
Draw
16.3%
Barnsley
Expected Goals (xG)
1.50
Stoke
vs
0.69
Barnsley
Markets
BTTS39.6%
Over 0.588.0%
Over 1.565.2%
Over 2.537.5%
Over 3.517.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.9%
2-0
12.6%
1-1
12.4%
0-0
12.0%
2-1
8.7%
0-1
6.9%
3-0
6.3%
3-1
4.3%
1-2
4.0%
2-2
3.0%
0-2
2.7%
4-0
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).