Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →23.7%
Amorebieta
29.3%
Draw
47.0%
Espanol
Expected Goals (xG)
0.78
Amorebieta
vs
1.24
Espanol
Markets
BTTS38.5%
Over 0.586.9%
Over 1.559.9%
Over 2.532.9%
Over 3.514.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
16.5%
0-0
13.1%
1-1
12.7%
1-0
10.5%
0-2
10.1%
1-2
7.9%
2-1
5.0%
0-3
4.2%
2-0
4.1%
1-3
3.3%
2-2
3.1%
3-1
1.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).