Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →26.2%
Fuenlabrada
23.3%
Draw
50.4%
Malaga
Expected Goals (xG)
1.19
Fuenlabrada
vs
1.75
Malaga
Markets
BTTS57.5%
Over 0.594.8%
Over 1.579.1%
Over 2.556.4%
Over 3.534.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.9%
1-2
9.6%
0-1
9.3%
0-2
8.1%
2-1
6.6%
1-0
6.4%
2-2
5.7%
1-3
5.6%
0-0
5.2%
0-3
4.7%
2-0
3.8%
2-3
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).