Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →48.2%
Ascoli
31.3%
Draw
20.5%
Alessandria
Expected Goals (xG)
1.30
Ascoli
vs
0.76
Alessandria
Markets
BTTS40.0%
Over 0.586.0%
Over 1.562.3%
Over 2.534.0%
Over 3.515.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.3%
0-0
14.0%
1-1
13.8%
2-0
10.8%
0-1
8.4%
2-1
8.2%
1-2
4.8%
3-0
4.7%
0-2
3.7%
3-1
3.6%
2-2
3.1%
4-0
1.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).