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03 May 2026 · 00:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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44.3%
Lokomotiv Moskva
22.4%
Draw
33.4%
Dinamo Moskva

Expected Goals (xG)

2.12

Lokomotiv Moskva

vs
1.84

Dinamo Moskva

Markets

BTTS74.9%
Over 0.597.2%
Over 1.591.5%
Over 2.575.7%
Over 3.555.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
8.3%
2-1
7.9%
2-2
7.3%
1-2
6.8%
3-1
5.6%
3-2
5.1%
2-3
4.4%
2-0
4.3%
1-3
4.2%
0-2
3.2%
1-0
3.2%
3-3
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).