Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →59.8%
Modena
26.4%
Draw
13.8%
Bari
Expected Goals (xG)
1.64
Modena
vs
0.67
Bari
Markets
BTTS40.2%
Over 0.588.9%
Over 1.568.0%
Over 2.540.4%
Over 3.520.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.3%
2-0
13.4%
1-1
12.0%
0-0
11.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-0
7.3%
0-1
5.6%
3-1
4.9%
1-2
3.6%
4-0
3.0%
2-2
3.0%
0-2
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).