Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →82.0%
Sheffield Weds
12.0%
Draw
6.0%
Accrington
Expected Goals (xG)
2.57
Sheffield Weds
vs
0.52
Accrington
Markets
BTTS37.2%
Over 0.596.0%
Over 1.580.9%
Over 2.559.7%
Over 3.537.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
15.0%
3-0
12.8%
1-0
12.2%
4-0
8.2%
2-1
7.8%
3-1
6.7%
1-1
5.6%
4-1
4.3%
5-0
4.2%
0-0
4.0%
0-1
2.9%
5-1
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).