Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →28.5%
Cesena
31.0%
Draw
40.5%
Modena
Expected Goals (xG)
1.01
Cesena
vs
1.25
Modena
Markets
BTTS46.8%
Over 0.588.3%
Over 1.567.4%
Over 2.539.5%
Over 3.519.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.5%
0-1
11.7%
0-0
11.7%
1-0
9.2%
1-2
8.3%
0-2
8.2%
2-1
6.7%
2-0
5.3%
2-2
4.2%
1-3
3.4%
0-3
3.4%
3-1
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).