Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →55.5%
Setubal
23.3%
Draw
21.1%
Rio Ave
Expected Goals (xG)
1.66
Setubal
vs
0.91
Rio Ave
Markets
BTTS48.1%
Over 0.592.9%
Over 1.572.3%
Over 2.547.6%
Over 3.525.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.1%
1-1
11.0%
2-0
10.5%
2-1
9.6%
0-1
7.4%
0-0
7.1%
3-0
5.8%
3-1
5.3%
1-2
5.3%
2-2
4.4%
0-2
3.2%
3-2
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).