Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →40.6%
Burgos
32.0%
Draw
27.3%
Girona
Expected Goals (xG)
1.03
Burgos
vs
0.79
Girona
Markets
BTTS35.0%
Over 0.583.9%
Over 1.554.2%
Over 2.527.5%
Over 3.511.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.8%
0-0
16.1%
1-1
13.0%
0-1
12.9%
2-0
8.6%
2-1
6.8%
1-2
5.2%
0-2
5.0%
3-0
3.0%
2-2
2.7%
3-1
2.3%
1-3
1.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).