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23 Jan 2024 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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27.5%
Aldershot
24.5%
Draw
48.0%
Bromley

Expected Goals (xG)

1.35

Aldershot

vs
1.83

Bromley

Markets

BTTS63.1%
Over 0.595.0%
Over 1.583.5%
Over 2.561.7%
Over 3.539.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.1%
1-2
9.4%
0-2
7.0%
2-1
6.9%
0-1
6.7%
2-2
6.4%
1-3
5.7%
0-0
5.0%
1-0
4.7%
0-3
4.3%
2-3
3.9%
2-0
3.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).