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13 Apr 2024 · 17:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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16.5%
Torino
19.4%
Draw
64.1%
Juventus

Expected Goals (xG)

1.00

Torino

vs
2.16

Juventus

Markets

BTTS55.6%
Over 0.595.9%
Over 1.582.2%
Over 2.561.1%
Over 3.538.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-2
9.9%
1-2
9.9%
0-1
9.3%
1-1
9.0%
0-3
7.2%
1-3
7.1%
2-2
4.9%
2-1
4.6%
1-0
4.4%
0-0
4.1%
0-4
3.9%
1-4
3.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).