Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →69.2%
Ashton United
18.4%
Draw
12.4%
Scarborough
Expected Goals (xG)
2.12
Ashton United
vs
0.76
Scarborough
Markets
BTTS46.4%
Over 0.594.7%
Over 1.577.9%
Over 2.554.9%
Over 3.532.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
12.7%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-0
9.0%
1-1
8.7%
3-1
6.8%
0-0
5.3%
4-0
4.7%
0-1
4.5%
2-2
3.6%
4-1
3.6%
1-2
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).