Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →58.0%
Crawley Town
17.6%
Draw
24.3%
Willenhall Town
Expected Goals (xG)
2.67
Crawley Town
vs
1.73
Willenhall Town
Markets
BTTS76.4%
Over 0.599.0%
Over 1.593.2%
Over 2.581.5%
Over 3.564.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
7.6%
3-1
6.7%
2-2
6.6%
3-2
5.8%
1-1
5.5%
1-2
4.9%
4-1
4.5%
2-0
4.4%
4-2
3.9%
3-0
3.9%
2-3
3.8%
1-0
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).