Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →63.5%
Las Palmas
24.9%
Draw
11.6%
Zaragoza
Expected Goals (xG)
1.54
Las Palmas
vs
0.49
Zaragoza
Markets
BTTS30.1%
Over 0.586.9%
Over 1.559.9%
Over 2.532.9%
Over 3.514.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
20.4%
2-0
15.6%
0-0
13.1%
1-1
9.8%
3-0
8.0%
2-1
7.6%
0-1
6.5%
3-1
3.9%
4-0
3.1%
1-2
2.4%
2-2
1.8%
0-2
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).