Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →83.6%
Fenerbahce
12.0%
Draw
4.4%
Karagumruk
Expected Goals (xG)
3.32
Fenerbahce
vs
0.80
Karagumruk
Markets
BTTS54.2%
Over 0.597.3%
Over 1.592.8%
Over 2.577.9%
Over 3.559.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0
9.9%
2-0
8.9%
4-0
8.2%
3-1
7.9%
2-1
7.2%
4-1
6.6%
5-0
5.5%
1-1
5.4%
5-1
4.4%
1-0
4.3%
3-2
3.2%
2-2
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).